24 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1522
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Caban
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1558
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.