24 Jun · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1483
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vidourek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1557
FormWLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)