25 Jun · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1620
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Srnka
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1539
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)