25 Jun · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1646
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benes
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1559
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)