25 Jun · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1453
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1484
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H62-83
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.