25 Jun Β· 14:55 MESZLow Β· Slight Edge
VS
π¨πΏViktor Skokan
ELO 1578
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skokan
MP
π¨πΏMichal Prochazka
ELO 1559
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds Β· Skokan
Model 52% Β· 1.92vsMarket 54% Β· 1.86Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.