25 Jun · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1601
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1646
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.