25 Jun · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Viktor Skokan
ELO 1578
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1601
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.