25 Jun · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1442
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1484
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.