25 Jun · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1453
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nemec
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1345
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H25-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-17)