25 Jun · 10:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1492
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1620
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)