25 Jun · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1518
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Baros
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1462
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Baros
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)