25 Jun · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1497
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)