25 Jun · 20:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1498
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H18-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.