25 Jun · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1518
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Baros
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Baros
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)