25 Jun · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Theodor
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1462
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Theodor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.