25 Jun · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1679
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vesecky
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1625
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.