25 Jun · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1497
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+14
H2H13-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.