25 Jun · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1535
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vitasek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1504
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.