25 Jun · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1676
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zlamal
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1652
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H135-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.