25 Jun · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1472
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Travnicek
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1462
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.