25 Jun · 22:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1498
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H25-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-22)