25 Jun · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1535
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vitasek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1472
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)