25 Jun Β· 13:10 MESZLow Β· Slight Edge
JS
π¨πΏJaroslav Sindler
ELO 1529
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
OV
π¨πΏOldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds Β· Sindler
Model 54% Β· 1.85vsMarket 55% Β· 1.83Β· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+43
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.