25 Jun · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SV
🇨🇿Stepan Vyskocil
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1537
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.