24 Jun · 06:05 UTCElite · Strong Favorite
MJ
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1616
FormLLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Jadczyk
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1458
FormLWWLL
70%
30%
Fair value · Jadczyk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+158
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)