24 Jun · 05:15 UTCMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurek
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1506
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
Fair value · Kurek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)