24 Jun · 07:20 UTCMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1432
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1506
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair value · Slosarczyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)