24 Jun Β· 06:45 UTCElite Β· Strong Favorite
KA
π΅π±Kacper Adamus
ELO 1605
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
KS
π΅π±Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1466
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair value Β· Adamus
Model 67% Β· 1.49vsMarket 58% Β· 1.73Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+139
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? Β· 2 reasons
- βHigher Elo rating (+139)
- βBetter recent form (3-2)