24 Jun · 07:15 UTCLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1528
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kosmal
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1503
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
Fair value · Kosmal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.