24 Jun · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1523
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ufnal
MU
🇵🇱Mateusz Ufnal
ELO 1558
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair value · Ufnal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)