24 Jun · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1453
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1460
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair value · Vincenec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.