24 Jun Β· 09:35 MESZElite Β· Strong Favorite
PG
π΅π±Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1613
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gumulinski
PP
π΅π±Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1483
FormWLLWW
66%
34%
Fair value Β· Gumulinski
Model 66% Β· 1.52vsMarket 68% Β· 1.47Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+130
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? Β· 2 reasons
- βHigher Elo rating (+130)
- βWinning head-to-head (5-1)