24 Jun · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1486
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
Fair value · Poliniewicz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H12-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-1)