24 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1385
FormLLLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1613
FormLWWWL
23%
77%
Fair value · Gumulinski
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
28%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+228
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)