24 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1629
FormLWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
67%
33%
Fair value · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+133
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)