24 Jun · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1493
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gajda
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1449
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
Fair value · Gajda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)