24 Jun · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1475
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1519
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
Fair value · Lach
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)