24 Jun · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kosmal
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1454
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair value · Kosmal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)