25 Jun · 17:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1261
FormLWLLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1680
FormWWLWW
14%
86%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~71 pts
0-3
38%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+419
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+419)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)