25 Jun · 02:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1640
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pietraszko
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Witkowski
ELO 1611
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pietraszko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+29
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.