25 Jun · 02:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1339
FormLLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1483
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H36-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-18)