25 Jun · 04:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1294
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1483
FormWWWWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H21-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-5)