25 Jun · 04:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lewczuk
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1536
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H11-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.