25 Jun · 05:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1408
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
21%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H16-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-13)