25 Jun · 06:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1202
FormLLLLW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1675
FormLWWWW
11%
89%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~72 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
32%
2-3
16%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+473
H2H35-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+473)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-4)