25 Jun · 05:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1467
FormLWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1675
FormLWWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+208
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)