25 Jun · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1485
FormWWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1602
FormWWWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)