25 Jun · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1391
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1496
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H43-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)