25 Jun · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Smolka
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1521
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)